Lille Toulouse prediction 2022-09-17

Lille vs Toulouse prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2022-09-16 19:00.
Three wins after seven league fixtures somewhat encapsulates the mid-table hoodoo Lille have found themselves in ever since Christophe Galtier left the club after their 2020/21 title triumph. And the early signs suggest Paulo Fonesca’s side are conceding too frequently to seriously mount a charge for European places, with only three Ligue 1 sides having let in more than the 15 goals they have across the opening seven gameweeks.

‘Les Logues’ have also begun to assemble a pretty abject home record stretching back to last season, with just two wins in their last nine league games at the Stade Pierre Mauroy. They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in front of their own fans since late April, with Fonesca recently admitting he’s becoming “a bit frustrated” with recent results and defensive incapacities.

Toulouse’s 1-0 victory over Reims on Sunday was a welcome return to winning ways for Philippe Montanier’s side, who had lost their three league games prior. Their only other domestic victory and clean sheet this season interestingly came away from home with a 3-0 drubbing of Troyes in gameweek two, showcasing that the Violets certainly have the capacity to sustain their current 11th place position in the league.

Despite having the edge in recent H2Hs between the two sides (W2, D1, L1), Montanier’s men will justifiably be considered underdogs on Saturday, especially as they lost 3-0 on their last visit here in 2020. Any saving grace could be found in Lille’s disappointing clean sheet record at home, but it’s fair to say Toulouse would still do well to shut out the 2020/21 champions on their own turf.

Players to watch: Canadian striker Jonathan David has picked up where he left off from last season, with three of his four league goals this season coming in the first half. Meanwhile, both of Moroccan winger Zakaria Aboukhlal’s strikes this campaign have served as the game’s opener.

Hot stat: There have been three or more goals scored in four of the previous five H2Hs.