RB Leipzig Union Berlin prediction 2023-02-11

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2023-02-10 17:30.
The challengers to Bayern Munich’s stranglehold on German football cranked up the pressure on the record champions last weekend. Positive results for both RB Leipzig and Union Berlin contributed to the smallest gap between first and sixth at this stage in the three-points-for-a-win era, meaning that this primetime clash may well be pivotal come the end of the campaign.

The Red Bulls are currently enjoying their joint-longest unbeaten run of competitive games as a Bundesliga side (W14, D4) and with wins in all but one of their historical home H2Hs, a new club record beckons. The potential absence of captain Willi Orbán due to a stem cell donation is a blow to their backline, yet the Hungarian has given someone a “second chance at life” according to Leipzig, a statement which puts the game into perspective.

A 2-1 win over Mainz in the last round moved Union to within a point of Bayern Munich and set a new club record for consecutive top-flight wins in the process (W4). Boss Urs Fischer still speaks of avoiding relegation, yet a first ever appearance in the Champions League looks more likely in what is incredibly just their fourth season in the top-flight.

To quantify the likelihood of the Berliners dining at Europe’s top table, it’s a high 85% if you consider that 11 of the previous 13 sides with 39 points at this stage finished in the top-four. The Iron Ones’ ability to overcome adversity has been one of their greatest assets this season, with three wins from seven Bundesliga games when conceding first (W3, L4) giving them a league-high 1.29ppg average when doing so.

Players to watch: Leipzig’s Timo Werner will look to make it three consecutive wins against Union after scoring three goals across his two 2019/20 H2Hs before leaving for England. Another player who enjoys this H2H is Union’s Kevin Behrens, who has already doubled his goal tally from last season (G4) and has never lost against Leipzig in the league (W3).

Hot stat: Ahead of the round, Leipzig and Union’s 11 goals apiece beyond the 76th minute is a joint-second league high.