San Marino vs Denmark prediction: EUROPE: Euro – Qualification betting tips on match 2023-10-16 18:45.
Although no team’s chances of victory can ever be completely dismissed, San Marino’s dismal all-time record of one win and eight draws from more than 200 official matches means they arrive into almost any game as enormous outsiders. That sole victory came in a friendly against Liechtenstein back in 2004, but a repeat success seems highly unlikely after what has been a typically fruitless European Championship Qualifying (ECQ) cycle so far (L7 – GF0, GA24).
San Marino will be up against it if they’re to get a result here, a point illustrated by the fact their entire population could fit within Denmark’s national venue with room to spare! Any fanciful hopes of qualification are already dead in the water for the microstate, but they’ll be looking to avoid defeat in an ECQ match for the first time since November 2014, which was a 0-0 draw with Estonia, losing all 23 since.
The road to Germany looks a lot simpler for the Danes after their 3-1 win over Kazakhstan last weekend opened up a four-point gap to third place with just three games to play. Assuming this is as close to a guaranteed three points as there is in world football, basically any positive result in their final two games should be enough for the 1992 European champions to qualify, although that could even happen on this night if the stars align!
Denmark shot up the table by winning four of their last five matches (D1), with three of the victories in that sequence coming ‘to nil’. The Euro 2020 semi-finalists are on a rather tepid run of ECQ away form (W2, D5, L3), which makes a trip to FIFA’s lowest-ranked team in international football a timely one, particularly as they’ve got a 4-0 win from the reverse H2H to build upon.
Key battle: Hapless San Marino goalkeeper Elia Benedettini has conceded 24 consecutive goals since he last saw his own nation net one at the other end. A likely candidate to worsen that record is Christian Eriksen, who assisted in a win over Kazakhstan in the last round and contributed to two of Denmark’s four goals in the reverse fixture (G1, A1).
Hot stat: San Marino have lost by a margin of at least three goals in five of their last seven ECQ home games.