Napoli Genoa prediction 2024-02-17

Napoli vs Genoa prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2024-02-16 14:00.
A narrow 1-0 loss to AC Milan last weekend meant Napoli have now failed to find the net in three of their last four games (W1, D1, L2). The defending Serie A champions are hanging on dearly to their top-half spot, although just a three-point gap to sixth-placed Roma suggests they could still save face by qualifying for Europe. They at least ought to fancy their chances of bouncing back from that Milan defeat here, as only once this campaign have the Neapolitans lost consecutive league games.

Playing at home will almost certainly help boost morale, as Napoli have won three of their last four league matches here (D1). Each of those wins came by a 2-1 scoreline and with the final goal landing on or beyond the 75th minute on every occasion, don’t rule any late drama here as Napoli bid for a third-successive home league win for the first time this season.

Genoa come into this clash six points behind their hosts after a 4-1 defeat to Atalanta last weekend halted an eight-game unbeaten run prior (W3, D5). The visitors managed to hold title-chasing duo Inter Milan and Juventus to 1-1 draws in that sequence, and considering two of their conceded goals against Atalanta came well into stoppage time, the scoreline perhaps only tells half a story.

An unbeaten four-game away run of late (W2, D2) suggests as much, with the Rossoblù having remedied the form that landed just a single point across seven league trips prior to that sequence. Building on their unbeaten away run here may prove problematic though, as this trip has remained an unsolvable puzzle for them since February 2009 (D4, L9 since), including conceding nine goals without response in their last two such visits.

Players to watch: Matteo Politano has scored his last two league goals at this venue and has netted Napoli’s last goal of the match in three of his last four H2Hs. Looking for an earlier impact, Albert Guðmundsson has scored Genoa’s opening goal in seven of his eight league scoring games this season.

Hot stat: Genoa have conceded seven of their 14 away league goals in this campaign beyond the 80th minute.