AS Roma vs Genoa prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2024-05-18 18:45.
[p]The penultimate round of Serie A games sees Roma still with an outside chance of qualifying for the Champions League, even if the H2H record may not be in their favour as they chase down an Atalanta side who beat them 2-1 last weekend. That wouldn’t have been as big a factor if Roma didn’t enter this on the back of a three-game winless run of league games (D2, L1), which was exacerbated by their painful recent elimination from the Europa League semi-final.[/p]
[p]In any case, a victory here will secure at the very least a spot in next season’s Europa League group stage, and that’s something they should be quietly confident of achieving after keeping three straight home H2H clean sheets against Genoa (W2, D1). Daniele De Rossi can only hope for a return to that kind of defensive form after failing to shut any of their last four visitors out (W1, D1, L2), while they lost the reverse H2H by a shocking 4-1 scoreline. [/p]
[p]With only a top-half finish left to play for, Genoa can play with freedom as they seek to end their season on a high by extending their three-game unbeaten run (W2, D1). Securing a H2H double against Roma won’t be easy though, as Genoa haven’t won back-to-back H2Hs since way back in 2011.[/p]
[p]Some rather indifferent recent away form casts further doubt over Genoa’s chances here as they’ve played out stalemates in five of their last seven trips (W1, L1). Credit must be given to the visitors for taking points from the likes of second-placed Milan and European finalists Fiorentina in their last two trips, although they arguably should have achieved more given they relinquished leads in three of their past four away draws. [/p]
[p]Players to watch: Reliable from the spot, Leandro Paredes has a 100% scoring record from eight career penalties, five of which came this season for Roma. Morten Thorsby scored and assisted in the reverse for Genoa and has scored each of his last three goals with his head.[/p]
[p]Hot stat: Roma boast a 93% unbeaten record as pre-match favourites in home league action this season (W10, D3, L1). [/p]