Bayern Munich vs Chelsea prediction: EUROPE: Champions League – League phase betting tips on match 2025-09-16 19:00.
[p]A rematch of the 2011/12 UEFA Champions League (UCL) final tops the billing on matchday one of this competition, as Bayern Munich and Chelsea renew hostilities in Bavaria.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Bayern Munich have made a flying start to the 2025/26 season, winning all five of their matches across all competitions, including both on home soil by an aggregate score of 11-0. The German giants are therefore primed to continue their dominance at this stage of the UCL, with no side boasting a higher win percentage than Bayern’s 73% in the group/league phase since the competition was restructured in 2003/04. It seems unlikely that they’ll suffer a slip-up here, as Bayern were unbeaten in 16 successive UCL home games before losing at the Allianz Arena to Inter Milan in last season’s quarter-finals (W13, D3).[/p]
[p]Chelsea return to the UCL after a two-season absence having made an unbeaten start to the campaign (W2, D2), but they suffered disappointment on Saturday by conceding late to draw 2-2 with Brentford. Enzo Maresca’s men have no time to lick their wounds as they leave London for the first time this season, and they have serious form in international competitions, winning 12 of their 13 such matches since their last UCL appearance (L1), including claiming both the Conference League and FIFA Club World Cup titles in the process.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Bayern have won three of the last four H2Hs in this competition (L1), with their only defeat coming on this ground on penalties in the 2011/12 UCL final. Chelsea were beaten in both legs in the quarter-final in 2019/20, including a 4-1 thumping in the away leg.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Bayern have had an average of 20 shots per game across their five matches this term.[/p]
[p]Bayern have scored in 36 of their last 37 UCL home games.[/p]
[p]Chelsea have lost three of their last five UCL away games without scoring.[/p]
[p]Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in eight of their last nine matches across all competitions.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Bayern goalkeeper Manuel Neuer has won each of his last three H2Hs against Chelsea, and another victory here would make him just the fourth player in UCL history to win 100 games. Cole Palmer will provide the biggest obstacle to that having directly contributed to eight goals in his last eight matches in international competitions (G3, A5).[/p]
[p]Long-term Bayern absentees Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies were joined on the sidelines by Raphaël Guerreiro at the weekend, while Chelsea’s João Pedro is a doubt after starting against Brentford despite not being fully fit.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Chelsea could hardly have wished for a tougher fixture on their UCL return, so backing Bayern’s free-scoring attack to score over 2.5 goals could hold value.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Ryan Fisher[/i][/p]