Nantes Rennes prediction 2025-09-20

Nantes vs Rennes prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2025-09-19 15:00.
[p]Nantes host Rennes in a Derby Breton, as the teams who finished 13th and 12th in 2024/25 go head to head.[/p]

[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]

[p]It has been a poor start to this Ligue 1 campaign for Nantes, who have picked up only one win from their opening four games (L3). Home form was the main reason that the Maison Jaune beat the drop by three points last season, picking up five of their eight league wins in front of their own fans. Their sole defeat across their last three games at the Stade de la Beaujoire came against 2024/25 champions Paris Saint-Germain on the opening day (W2), and another victory in this Saturday’s derby would be significant, as the last time Nantes won successive Ligue 1 fixtures at home was in October 2023.[/p]

[p]Rennes go into round five with only one defeat to their name so far this season (W2, D1) and most recently secured a dramatic 3-1 home win over Lyon last Sunday. That result was all the more impressive, as Habib Beye’s side trailed with 11 minutes of normal time remaining and were still level going into the fourth minute of injury time! Despite their lofty placing of sixth ahead of this weekend, the Red and Blacks have not won any of their last five Ligue 1 away fixtures (D1, L4). That solitary draw came in their visit to Angers in round three, and they’ll hope this sparks some improvement given Beye’s side had claimed four wins in their previous five on the road (L1) before this dismal run.[/p]

[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]

[p]Rennes have won five of the last six (L1) meetings, and lost only two of the last 11 H2Hs (W8, D1), but both teams won their corresponding home fixture last season by a one-goal margin.[/p]

[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]

[p]All four of Nantes’ Ligue 1 fixtures so far this season have finished 1-0.[/p]

[p]Nantes have conceded one first-half goal in their last nine home league games.[/p]

[p]Rennes have failed to keep a clean sheet across each of their last six away games.[/p]

[p]Rennes have conceded the final goal of the match in their last five away fixtures.[/p]

[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]

[p]Mostafa Mohamed scored in the last H2H and netted the only goal of the game in Nantes’ last home fixture. Quentin Merlin will be up against one of his former clubs in this match and has already claimed two assists this season, including in Rennes’ last away game at Angers.[/p]

[p]Bahereba Guirassy and Mathieu Acapandié both missed the defeat at Nice, while Mahdi Camara has served a two-match suspension and is available for selection again.[/p]

[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]

[p]Betting Analysis[/p]

[p]With each of Nantes’ opening four games this season being settled by the same 1-0 scoreline, we recommend backing under 1.5 goals in this fixture.[/p]

[p][i]Author: Tom Penn[/i][/p]