Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-10-03 13:30.
[p]Bayer Leverkusen will be looking to improve on their underwhelming start to the Bundesliga season when they host mid-table Union Berlin. [/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Given the mass turnover of personnel at the club in the summer, it’s perhaps no surprise to see Leverkusen struggling to replicate their standards from the previous two seasons. Only once since 2019 have they had fewer points than their eight at this stage (W2, D2, L1), with that record made even more frustrating given that they scored first in all five games and were pre-match favourites! Two of those slip-ups came on home soil against Hoffenheim (L 2-1) and Mönchengladbach (D 1-1), and that trend continued in midweek when Die Werkself let a 1-0 lead slip to draw with PSV in the UEFA Champions League (1-1), leaving them with just one win four games at the BayArena this term (W1, D2, L1).[/p]
[p]The only fireworks that Union Berlin could produce in their last game came from their ultras as they squandered an early penalty to draw 0-0 with newly-promoted Hamburg. That disappointing result shouldn’t take too much gloss off what has been a reasonably productive start to 2025/26, with their most eye-catching result coming in a stunning 4-3 win on the road at Eintracht Frankfurt. That forms part of an impressive run of form in Bundesliga away matches, with Die Eisernen losing just two of their last nine such outings (W5, D2).[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Union have beaten Leverkusen just once in 15 attempts across all competitions (D5, L9). They’re winless in away H2Hs (D3, L5), with all five losses coming by 2+ goal margins.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Leverkusen’s last eight Bundesliga games saw both teams score. [/p]
[p]Nine of Leverkusen’s last 11 games in all competitions produced over 2.5 total goals.[/p]
[p]Eight of Union’s last nine matches saw at least three goals scored.[/p]
[p]Union’s last six Bundesliga wins were by a one-goal margin.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Malik Tillman has seen 11 of his last 14 goals at club level come on home soil, including the match opener in Leverkusen’s last home league game. Ilyas Ansah has been making his presence felt early by scoring Union’s first goal in three separate league games already this season. [/p]
[p]Axel Tape was forced off injured against PSV, with Patrik Schick and Lucas Vázquez sitting that game out altogether. Josip Juranović and Stanley Nsoki could be recalled for Union after injury, but Robert Skov remains doubtful. [/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]A whopping 37 goals have flown in across these two sides’ ten combined league games this term, so the numbers point firmly towards over 2.5 total goals again. [/p]
[p][i]Author: Aaron Murphy[/i][/p]