Metz Lens prediction 2025-10-29

Metz vs Lens prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2025-10-28 18:00.
[p]Bottom of the table Metz are still searching for their first Ligue 1 win of the season when they host high-flying Lens.[/p]

[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]

[p]Metz have endured a truly miserable season since returning to Ligue 1, failing to win any of their nine games (D2, L7), losing the last three in a row by a combined 13-1 scoreline! A 6-1 defeat at Lille on Sunday was their heaviest of the campaign and leaves Stéphane Le Mignan’s side a whopping seven points adrift of safety at this early stage. The Maroons can at least cling to their measly two points both being won on home soil, yet they only came against sides who also occupy the bottom five pre-round, with Metz also winless in seven Ligue 1 games on their own turf since beating Lens in April 2024 (D2, L5).[/p]

[p]Since losing to table-toppers PSG in mid-September, Lens have established themselves as their closest challengers, going five games unbeaten (W4, D1) in a sequence that includes three successive 2-1 victories. The latest of which was a statement success over fellow European hopefuls Marseille, with that already the second time the Blood and Gold have won in Ligue 1 this season after conceding first. Pierre Sage’s men will be confident of avoiding such a fate here given that their only away defeat since the start of April came at the hands of PSG (W4, D2).[/p]

[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]

[p]Metz won both H2Hs during the 2023/24 season, and have been beaten in just one of the last nine H2Hs across all competitions (W5, D3).[/p]

[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]

[p]Metz are the only team in Ligue 1 yet to score in the second half of a home game this season.[/p]

[p]Metz have conceded nine times after half-time across their last three matches.[/p]

[p]Only one of Lens’ six victories this season has been accompanied by a clean sheet.[/p]

[p]Lens have received a red card in both of their last two away games.[/p]

[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]

[p]Habib Diallo has been involved in two of Metz’s last three goals (G1, A1), including getting the assist on Sunday. Adrien Thomasson was booked for the third time in four matches at the weekend – he assisted both of Lens’ goals in their last away match against Auxerre (W 2-1).[/p]

[p]Sabidou Sané remains suspended for Metz, who will also be without the injured Fodé Ballo-Touré and Boubacar Traoré. Lens’ Ruben Aguilar is doubtful after picking up an injury during Saturday’s game.[/p]

[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre[/p]

[p]Betting Analysis[/p]

[p]With Metz finally scoring again but continuing to lose, backing a fourth straight 2-1 win for Lens looks like a smart bet.[/p]

[p][i]Author: Tom Penn[/i][/p]