Freiburg vs St. Pauli prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-11-08 14:30.
[p]Riding high in the UEFA Europa League after their 3-1 win in Nice on Thursday, Freiburg return to Bundesliga action when they host strugglers St Pauli on Sunday.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]After four successive away games across all competitions (W2, D1, L1), Freiburg will be back on home soil looking to end a five-game winless run in the Bundesliga (D4, L1), failing to score three times therein. That form leaves Julian Schuster’s men in the bottom half of the table already six points adrift of the top six pre-round, so they’ve already got a lot of work to do if they’re to get back into Europe next season. A return home should help them as Freiburg are unbeaten at the Europa-Park Stadion since the opening weekend of the season (W3, D2).[/p]
[p]St Pauli begin the weekend as the only team in the division on a longer active winless run in league action than Freiburg, as the Kiezkicker have lost their last six Bundesliga games – just one defeat short of their worst-ever run in the same top-flight season. Alexander Blessin’s side begin the round just a point clear of the drop zone and all signs point toward further regression after they were thumped 4-0 at home by a previously winless Borussia Mönchengladbach last Saturday. St Pauli equalled a negative club record by failing to score for the fourth game in a row in that defeat, while they’ve also blanked in their last three away games.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Both H2Hs last season were won by the away side on the day with an accompanying clean sheet. Freiburg are looking to win successive Bundesliga H2Hs for the first time ever, and last beat St Pauli at home in the competition in 1997.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Freiburg have failed to win their last 12 Sunday-held Bundesliga games (D8, L4), including all 11 under Schuster.[/p]
[p]Freiburg have failed to score in just one of their last 18 home matches across all competitions.[/p]
[p]St Pauli have trailed 1-0 at half-time in their last three away games.[/p]
[p]St Pauli’s Bundesliga away games have produced a league-low average of 1.75 goals this term.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Yuito Suzuki has provided an assist in his last two appearances and got Freiburg’s opener in their last home match. Oladapo Afolayan got a goal and an assist in this fixture last season – four of his five career goal involvements in the Bundesliga have come on the road.[/p]
[p]Freiburg have no new injury worries, while Arkadiusz Pyrka and Adam Dźwigała are doubts for St Pauli.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Freiburg have been excellent at home, while St Pauli’s goalscoring issues remain, so backing the hosts to win while keeping a clean sheet looks like a smart bet.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Tom Penn[/i][/p]