Fiorentina AEK Athens prediction 2025-11-27

Fiorentina vs AEK Athens prediction: EUROPE: Conference League – League phase betting tips on match 2025-11-27 20:00.
[p]After ending their run of defeats with the arrival of a new head coach, Fiorentina will be eager to continue their encouraging form in the UEFA Conference League when hosting AEK Athens, who will leapfrog them with a win.[/p]

[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]

[p]The arrival of Paolo Vanoli halted Fiorentina’s three-game losing streak, which included a 2-1 defeat to Mainz in their last Conference League outing, but back-to-back draws against Genoa and Juventus mean that incredibly, a first Serie A victory this season still eludes them. Their European campaign has been going much better though, as La Viola started the league phase with back-to-back wins before their latest slump in Germany, but still enter this round of fixtures inside the top eight. Vanoli certainly has work to do on Fiorentina’s home form, as they have lost four of their last seven such matches (W1, D2), albeit that sole victory came against Sigma Olomouc in this competition.[/p]

[p]AEK are two points behind their hosts here after making up for their defeat to Celje with consecutive unbeaten games in the Conference League, meaning that they enter this round as the top scorers in this season’s league phase, thanks largely to thrashing Aberdeen 6-0. A 1-0 win over Aris on Sunday evening made it five matches without loss in all competitions (W4, D1), with all four victories being 1-0 to help keep them within touching distance of first place in the Greek top flight. That sequence includes back-to-back wins away from home, with Marko Nikolić’s men avoiding defeat in nine of their 11 encounters on the road this term (W5, D4, L2).[/p]

[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]

[p]This will be the second-ever meeting between these sides, with the previous one ending in a 1-1 draw in the UEFA Cup in 2007.[/p]

[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]

[p]Seven of Fiorentina’s last nine matches produced over 2.5 goals.[/p]

[p]Ten of Fiorentina’s last 12 competitive home games saw both teams score. [/p]

[p]AEK have scored exactly one goal in their last five matches.[/p]

[p]Only two of AEK’s last nine away games featured over 2.5 goals.[/p]

[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]

[p]Despite his stunning equaliser against Juventus, Rolando Mandragora hasn’t been on the winning side in his last four goalscoring appearances for Fiorentina (D2, L2), with each of the last seven such outings having seen both teams find the net. Former Fiorentina striker Luka Jović has scored in both of his last two Conference League matches, with each of his four goals for AEK on or beyond the 60th minute.[/p]

[p]Neither side seem to have any fresh absentees.[/p]

[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]

[p]Betting Analysis[/p]

[p]Given Fiorentina’s struggles and AEK’s recent tendency to feature in low-scoring affairs, we suggest that betting on under 2.5 goals here could be a smart move.[/p]

[p][i]Author: Tomáš Vlasák[/i][/p]