Marseille Toulouse prediction 2025-11-29

Marseille vs Toulouse prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2025-11-28 20:05.
[p]In-form Marseille attempt to keep pace in the Ligue 1 title race against an out-of-form Toulouse side who are winless at Stade Vélodrome since 2012.[/p]

[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]

[p]Recent form suggests Marseille are ready to challenge for trophies again after a 14-year drought, as a 2-1 success against Newcastle in Europe on Tuesday was not only the club’s third win in a row, but also served as a ninth victory in 13 outings (D1, L3). Seven of those successes have come in Ligue 1 (D1, L1), where the Phocaeans are laying down a title challenge to PSG and enter this round just two points off top spot. No team in the French top flight has scored more than their 33 goals, while their average of 2.67 points per home game (W5, D1) is also the joint-highest in the division ahead of this round.[/p]

[p]A 1-0 loss to Angers last time out leaves Toulouse on their longest winless run since April (D3, L2) and losing ground in the race for European qualification. Carles Martínez Novell’s side are being held back by starting games slowly, as their total of three first half-goals is a joint-low for Ligue 1 this season. None of those strikes have come on the road, where Les Violets have still managed to accumulate a respectable seven points from six games (W2, D1, L3), and with both of those victories achieved against teams who start this round above them in the table, they may not fear making this trip. [/p]

[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]

[p]Marseille completed a league double over Toulouse last season, extending their unbeaten run in top-flight H2Hs to 22 matches (W14, D8).[/p]

[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]

[p]Marseille’s home league games have averaged 4.5 goals per game this season.[/p]

[p]Marseille have conceded a Ligue 1-low average of just 2.17 corners per game on home soil this term.[/p]

[p]Toulouse have been awarded a joint-league high six penalties in Ligue 1 this season.[/p]

[p]Ahead of this round, no team has picked up more yellow cards in Ligue 1 than Toulouse (33).[/p]

[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]

[p]No Ligue 1 player has scored more goals (10) or had more shots (38) this season than Mason Greenwood ahead of the round. One of Toulouse’s most potent threats will be Yann Gboho, whose last five strikes have all come after half-time.[/p]

[p]Marseille will be without Amine Gouiri and Hamed Traorè. Francis Abu is still some way away from a return for Toulouse, while Mário Sauer remains sidelined.[/p]

[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]

[p]Betting Analysis[/p]

[p]The hosts are bang in form, so backing Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals seems worth a punt.[/p]

[p][i]Author: Matt Jones[/i][/p]