Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-12-06 14:30.
[p]The Nordderby returns as Hamburg take on Werder Bremen after a wait of 1379 days, the longest gap between meetings for these sides since the Bundesliga’s inception. [/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]After failing to win each of their five previous league games (D1, L4), Hamburg played from the 81st minute onwards with only ten men at home to Stuttgart last weekend and still grabbed an injury time winner. For the fifth time in six home league games this season (W3, D1, L2), Merlin Polzin’s side were unable to keep a clean sheet, yet they will begin this gameweek having conceded the fewest goals of any side outside the top six in the Bundesliga. Scoring goals has been more of an issue for the Red Shorts, who ended round 12 only one goal ahead of the lowest scorers in the league.[/p]
[p]Werder Bremen went into stoppage time 1-0 up at home to FC Cologne last Saturday, but couldn’t hang on to their lead and were also reduced to ten men before the final whistle. That draw saw Horst Steffen’s team begin this round in ninth place and with an impressive record of only one defeat from their last seven Bundesliga fixtures (W3, D3). The loss came in their last away fixture, when they went down 2-0 in Leipzig, and the Red Shorts haven’t won any of their games on the road (D2, L2) since a 4-0 thrashing of Borussia Mönchengladbach back in mid-September.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]These sides last met in the 2021/22 Bundesliga 2 and the away team on the day won both Nordderbies during that season. Hamburg have won only one of the last six H2Hs (D2, L3) and have not beaten Bremen at the Volksparkstadion since April 2016.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]There has been at least one red card in four of Hamburg’s last six competitive games.[/p]
[p]Only one of Hamburg’s six home league matches this season saw more than one goal before half-time.[/p]
[p]Bremen have scored in the first half in only one of their six Bundesliga away games this season.[/p]
[p]Across Bremen’s last seven fixtures, neither side has scored more than two goals.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]With others out, Rayan Philippe is expected to lead the line for Hamburg and his three league goals of this campaign have come during two home wins. Jens Stage provided an assist last weekend and has contributed to a goal (G4, A1) or been booked (YC2) in seven of his ten appearances this season.[/p]
[p]Robert Glatzel and Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit are both out for Hamburg, while Niklas Stark is suspended for Bremen.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Considering the flurry of red cards in Hamburg’s recent games and a Bremen player being sent off last week, backing a red card in this game could be a profitable bet.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Tom Penn[/i][/p]