Mainz vs St. Pauli prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-12-20 14:30.
[p]Two of the Bundesliga’s prime relegation candidates will face off when Mainz host St Pauli, with both teams earning significant recent wins.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Mainz ended a seven-game winless streak in all competitions with a 2-0 triumph over Samsunspor in midweek European action (D3, L4), but it is their ten-game stretch without a league victory that will be the biggest worry as they sit bottom of the Bundesliga (D3, L7). A very impressive 2-2 draw at Bayern Munich last Sunday boosted morale, but seven points after 14 matches is their second-worst tally at this stage of a Bundesliga campaign in their history. The 05ers will be wondering how to break out of this slump, given that their 12-game winless home run (D7, L5) and their 25-game stretch without a clean sheet are both their longest-ever such sequences in the top-flight and the longest ongoing streaks in the league. [/p]
[p]St Pauli sit just four points and two places above their hosts in the standings, largely thanks to a draw and a victory in their last two matches following nine successive Bundesliga defeats. What was even more eye-catching about beating fellow strugglers Heidenheim 2-1 last Saturday was that they did so while down to ten men from late in the first half, but it remains to be seen whether that result can transform their season, especially since they suffered five straight away league losses before drawing at Cologne earlier this month.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Mainz’s last home clean-sheet win in the league was against St Pauli in February (2-0), meaning that the hosts here have won all four Bundesliga H2Hs.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Six of Mainz’s last eight matches have featured fewer than 2.5 goals.[/p]
[p]Just one of Mainz’s last 12 Bundesliga home games has been decided by a 2+ goal margin.[/p]
[p]Five of St Pauli’s last six matches have seen both teams score.[/p]
[p]St Pauli have conceded first in five of their last six away league games. [/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Jae-sung Lee’s goal at Bayern was preceded by seven strikes all scored at home for Mainz, including one accompanied by an assist in last season’s corresponding fixture. Martijn Kaars got a brace for St Pauli against Heidenheim, and with his four goals before that all coming away from home, he’ll be confident of adding to his tally here.[/p]
[p]Mainz do not appear to have any fresh absentees after the win over Samsunspor, but St Pauli will be without Eric Smith following his red card against Heidenheim and could also be missing Ricky-Jade Jones through injury. [/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Both sides have scored a joint league-low 13 goals this season, making the goal-bands market of 1-2 goals an attractive betting option here.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Peter Stavrinou[/i][/p]