Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction: SPAIN: Super Cup betting tips on match 2026-01-07 19:00.
[p]Thirteen-time Supercopa de España winners Real Madrid face a big challenge to reach another final given their recent H2H struggles against city rivals Atlético Madrid.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Atlético Madrid are chasing their first piece of silverware since lifting the La Liga title in 2020/21, yet semi-final exits in their last two Supercopa appearances mean they’ve got recent demons to banish in this competition. They come into this clash unbeaten in five matches across all competitions (W4, D1), but a 1-1 draw with struggling Real Sociedad at the weekend stunted their momentum somewhat. Diego Simeone will hope to get his players back on track against the opponent he’s managed against a career-high 48 times (W13, D15, L20), with one of those victories coming the last time Atlético won the Supercopa in 2014. [/p]
[p]A four-match competitive winning streak has helped ease the pressure on Xabi Alonso’s position as Real Madrid manager, with a thumping 5-1 victory over Real Betis at the weekend serving as the perfect preparation ahead of this tie. This competition takes on extra importance for Los Blancos given that they trail Barcelona by four points in the La Liga title race, but they’ve enjoyed the Supercopa in recent years, reaching the final in all five prior editions to be held in Saudi Arabia (W3, L2), with their only semi-final exit since the tournament’s expansion coming back in 2021. [/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Atlético were resounding 5-2 winners the last time these sides faced each other in September, and have lost just two of the last ten H2Hs (W4, D4). Real have never won a Supercopa H2H inside 90 minutes (D3, L1).[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Atlético have scored four goals inside 20 minutes across their last four games.[/p]
[p]Atlético have taken exactly ten shots in three of their last four fixtures.[/p]
[p]Real have scored first in six of their last eight Supercopa matches.[/p]
[p]Real have scored 3+ goals in five of their last seven wins.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]AtlĂ©tico stalwart Koke has faced Real a whopping 43 times in his career, directly contributing to ten goals (G2, A8) and picking up 19 yellow cards! Gonzalo GarcĂa opened his account for the season with a hat-trick in Real’s victory over Betis at the weekend, meaning that four of his five senior scoring appearances have seen him net the match opener.[/p]
[p]Clément Lenglet is a doubt for Atlético, while Real are hoping to welcome Kylian Mbappé back from injury here.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Clashes between these two in knockout football tend to go all the way, so we think there’s value in backing a draw inside 90 minutes with Real to progress eventually.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Ryan Fisher[/i][/p]