Genoa vs Cagliari prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2026-01-11 17:30.
[p]Genoa will be looking to join Cagliari on 19 points and move further clear of the relegation zone seven weeks after the teams played out a thrilling 3-3 draw in the reverse fixture.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Genoa’s 1-1 draw away to AC Milan in the last round extended their winless run in this competition to five games (D2, L3) and left them hovering dangerously just three points above the relegation zone. Another draw and a continuation of that winless streak certainly feels within the realms of possibility here, not least because Genoa have drawn five of their six league games this season against sides joining them in the bottom seven (W1)! Adding another win to that record certainly isn’t a given on home turf, where Genoa have won just once all season in Serie A (D4, L5), which forms part of a wider run of one win in 13 such matches including the end of the last campaign (D4, L8).[/p]
[p]Regularly scoring and conceding is about the only sort of consistency to Cagliari’s campaign at the moment, with their 2-2 draw away to Cremonese during the week serving as their seventh consecutive league game to produce a different result to the one prior (W2, D2, L3). A comfortable six-point cushion to the bottom three pre-round shouldn’t have them too concerned about relegation just yet, and a run of just one defeat from nine league games (W3, D5) against sides starting this round alongside them in the bottom half suggests they could build on that here. That also includes a 2-1 win at Torino to end 2025, a result which affords them the chance to secure back-to-back Serie A away wins for the first time since September 2019. [/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Genoa’s only win in the last seven competitive H2Hs (D5, L1) occurred in the 2023/24 season on home soil, where they remain unbeaten against Cagliari in that time (W1, D2). [/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Nine of Genoa’s last ten Serie A fixtures saw both teams score. [/p]
[p]Genoa have the worst first-half home record of all Serie A clubs this term (D7, L3).[/p]
[p]Cagliari opened the scoring in a league-low four games this Serie A season. [/p]
[p]Six of Cagliari’s last eight league games produced over 2.5 goals. [/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]On-loan Genoa striker Lorenzo Colombo is on a two-game scoring streak following his strike against parent club AC Milan, which ended a run of three consecutive scoring appearances at home. This matchup could be an inspiration for Cagliari’s Gennaro Borrelli, who has scored in each of his last two games against Genoa. [/p]
[p]Genoa’s Caleb Ekuban missed their midweek draw with an injury, while Cagliari are expected to be without Alessandro Deiola as well as some long-term absentees.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Knowing that Genoa rarely trail at half-time at home and Cagliari have led at the break just once on the road, we expect the scores to be level at half-time. [/p]
[p]Author: Aaron Murphy[/p]