Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2026-01-12 19:30.
[p]Hamburg are being dragged closer to the relegation zone, and things might not improve for them here when they face a Bayer Leverkusen side looking to make amends after a surprise heavy home defeat.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]A third game (D1, L2) without a win means Hamburg fans are looking nervously over their shoulders at the Bundesliga relegation zone. Die Rothosen were beaten 2-1 by Freiburg on Saturday, a game which marked a tenth league game in a row without a clean sheet result and means they start this round only four points above the bottom three. As if that is not bad enough, Merlin Polzin’s side have registered just one win against a team who start this round in the top half of the table (D3, L4), but they can at least draw some positives from the fact 14 of their 16 points this season have been picked up at home (W4, D2, L2).[/p]
[p]That might be bad news for Bayer Leverkusen, given they head into this clash on the back of a 4-1 thrashing by Stuttgart, their joint-heaviest Bundesliga defeat since October 2022. That was also a third loss in five top-flight outings (W2) for a club who are clinging on to a place in the top four. In fact, the five defeats Kasper Hjulmand’s men have suffered this season are already more than the previous two campaigns combined! Only two of those reversals have come on the road, where Die Werkself have registered four league wins (D1) while scoring at least three times in four of their seven games.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Hamburg’s recent record against Bayer Leverkusen is pretty worrying, winning just three of the last 18 H2Hs (D5, L10).[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Hamburg’s last five league matches all saw both teams score.[/p]
[p]Hamburg have trailed at half-time in seven Bundesliga games in 2025/26, the joint-second highest total in the division (W1, L6).[/p]
[p]Each of Bayer Leverkusen’s 16 league fixtures this term featured over 1.5 goals.[/p]
[p]Leverkusen’s 21 first-half goals is the second-highest tally in the Bundesliga this season.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]If Rayan Phillippe is going to score for Hamburg, he will likely do so in the second half, as nine of his last ten goals have come after the break. He will have to beat Bayer Leverkusen’s Mark Flekken, whose 57 saves puts him in the top two for Bundesliga goalkeepers this season.[/p]
[p]Hamburg’s Daniel Elfadli is suspended after his sending off against Freiburg. Exequiel Palacios remains out for Bayer Leverkusen, who also have several players at the Africa Cup of Nations.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Given how these two teams have performed lately, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals seems a solid choice.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Matt Jones[/i][/p]