Almeria vs Valladolid prediction: SPAIN: LaLiga betting tips on match 2023-05-27 17:00.
Both AlmerĂa and Real Valladolid finished level on 81 points in last season’s second-tier and it’s similarly tight this time around with the pair separated by just a point in the fight for survival. After falling to a narrow, yet unsurprising 1-0 defeat against Sociedad in the previous round, AlmerĂa’s survival effort rumbles on into the penultimate round of the La Liga season.
Victory here will book a second season at the top and match AlmerĂa’s best La Liga points haul since 2009/10, yet defeat could plunge them into the relegation zone, depending on results elsewhere. The hosts will hope their flip-flopping win and loss pattern across the last six rounds continues here (W3, L3) and given that they’ve won seven of their eight home league games against bottom-half sides (W7, D1), that seems like a distinct possibility.
Looking to deny them the opportunity are Valladolid, who start the round just one point from safety but with the immense confidence gained from ending a five-game losing run with a stunning 3-1 win over the new champions, Barcelona. Even if they lose here, their final day game against Getafe could provide them a final shot at survival due to their better H2H record against the Madrid-based outfit
A return of just one away league win against sides beginning the day outside of the top-five makes terrible reading for Valladolid fans (W1, D2, L10), and so does the fact they’ve never won a top-flight away H2H (D1, L3). To inspire some confidence on the back of those dreadful trends, only five other sides can better Valladolid’s 25% win rate as pre-match outsiders in La Liga action this season (W7, D3, L18).
Players to watch: Largie Ramazani scored in both league H2Hs for AlmerĂa last season, yet he enters this clash on the back of an 11 league game goal drought. As for Valladolid, Cyle Larin ensured they entered the final two rounds of the season with the flames of hope burning brightly after scoring and assisting in their historic win over Barcelona.
Hot stat: AlmerĂa avoided defeat in almost half of their home league games when conceding first this season (W2, D2, L5).