AS Roma vs Genoa prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2025-12-28 19:45.
[p]Roma will look to bring some festive cheer to their supporters as they take on a Genoa side who are dangling precariously above the relegation zone. [/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]From sitting at the Serie A summit just a few weeks ago, three defeats in four league matches (W1) have seen Roma lose ground in the title race. A 2-1 defeat to Juventus before Christmas leaves the Wolves three points off the summit pre-round, while their total of six league losses is more than any other team who start this round in the top nine. That will worry manager Gian Piero Gasperini, but his side still have the best defence in Serie A, conceding just ten goals so far, and he will hope a return to Stadio Olimpico can revive his side’s title bid, as they have won four of their last five fixtures across all competitions on home soil (L1). [/p]
[p]That might not worry opponents Genoa, who themselves are unbeaten in three league games on the road (W2, D1), while only three teams begin this round having scored more away goals than the Griffins’ 11. They need to rekindle that kind of form, as back-to-back home defeats to Inter Milan (2-1) and Atalanta (1-0) meant the club spent Christmas just two points above the relegation zone. Daniele De Rossi, who has won two of his seven games in charge (D2, L3), therefore has work to do to guide his new team to safety, and shoring up his defence could help given Genoa are yet to keep a clean sheet under his guidance. [/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Genoa have won just one of the last 21 H2Hs (D5, L15) and haven’t won an away H2H since January 1990, losing each of the last three in succession.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Roma matches are averaging a pre-round Serie A-low of 1.69 goals per game this season. [/p]
[p]Roma have won each of the nine league matches in which they have scored first in 2025/26.[/p]
[p]All seven of Genoa’s away league games this term saw both teams score.[/p]
[p]Genoa have gained a pre-round league-high six points with goals scored after the 75th minute this season.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Roma’s Lorenzo Pellegrini has seen ten of his last 11 club strikes serve as the first or last of the match. No player in Serie A enters this round having made more successful tackles than Genoa’s Patrizio Masini (30).[/p]
[p]Leon Bailey will be missing for Roma after coming off against Juventus. Genoa’s Nicola Leali is suspended, adding to a lengthy list of absentees that is also likely to include Junior Messias.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]History suggests the hosts will come out on top, and perhaps with some ease, so backing Roma to win by a -1 handicap could carry value here. [/p]
[p][i]Author: Matt Jones[/i][/p]