Atalanta vs AS Roma prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2025-05-11 18:45.
[p]Atalanta’s four-match unbeaten run (W3, D1) has come too late to revive their hopes of winning a first Scudetto, with three successive league defeats beforehand putting paid to the club’s dreams of finishing top of Serie A. They still have plenty to play for though as they bid to secure UEFA Champions League (UCL) qualification, something they haven’t achieved via their league position since 2020/21.[/p]
[p]Victory in this game will be enough to secure that, as a 4-0 demolition of relegated Monza last time out means La Dea enter this round five points clear of Roma, as well as the other two teams immediately below them, Juventus and Lazio, who meet this weekend. Keeping a clean sheet perhaps holds the key to success for Gian Piero Gasperini’s side, whose last six Serie A wins all came with an accompanying shutout.[/p]
[p]The Giallorossi will fancy their chances of damaging their opponents’ victory prospects, as they travel having netted in 20 successive matches across all competitions (W14, D4, L2). They are equally as good at the other end too, with a 1-0 win over Fiorentina last time out meaning over 300 minutes of football has elapsed since their defence was last breached.[/p]
[p]Claudio Ranieri’s side are now up to fifth in the division ahead of this round, a remarkable position considering a 2-0 loss in the reverse fixture in December left them just two points above the bottom three and 18 behind their hosts. They now seem well placed to end a seven-year UCL absence, but a record of just one away win against teams who start this round in the top half of Serie A inspires little confidence ahead of the trip to Bergamo (D4, L3).[/p]
[p]Key battle: With 24 goals, Atalanta forward Mateo Retegui has all but won the Serie A golden boot race already – seven of the last eight of those arrived before the hour mark. He may struggle to beat Roma’s Mile Svilar, who has the second-highest save percentage (80%) in Serie A this season.[/p]
[p]Hot stat: Atalanta have scored in both halves of a pre-round league-high 14 of their 35 Serie A games.[/p]
[p][i]Written by Matt Jones[/i][/p]