Atalanta Fiorentina prediction 2025-11-30

Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2025-11-29 17:00.
[p]Atalanta will hope that a superb European victory can propel them back to winning ways in Serie A, when they host a Fiorentina team in disarray.[/p]

[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]

[p]Raffaele Palladino must have read his Atalanta side the riot act, after they followed up a 3-1 defeat at Napoli in their last Serie A encounter with a stunning 3-0 UEFA Champions League win at Eintracht Frankfurt. La Dea will hope this can give them the foundation to kick on domestically, having failed to win any of their previous eight Serie A games (D5, L3). They haven’t found much comfort at home either, winning just three of their 17 Serie A home matches in 2025 (D9 L5), and will desperately be aiming to improve on that if they are to propel themselves back towards European qualification contention. [/p]

[p]Fiorentina’s UEFA Conference League defeat to AEK Athens stretched La Viola’s winless run to seven consecutive matches across all competitions (D3, L4), and marked Paolo Vanoli’s first defeat in charge since arriving earlier this month (D2). They are languishing inside the bottom three, knowing that even a win here will not be enough to move them into the safety positions, and their paltry haul of six points (D6, L6) is the club’s lowest-ever total after 12 games of a Serie A season. They have at least been a tougher nut to crack on the road though, drawing four of their six away league games (L2), with those two defeats coming against title chasers AC Milan and Inter Milan.[/p]

[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]

[p]Fiorentina have won four of the last six meetings with Atalanta (L2), and four of those matches have seen exactly five goals scored. That includes the last three meetings in Bergamo![/p]

[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]

[p]Atalanta have kept a second-half clean sheet in five of their last six matches.[/p]

[p]Atalanta have failed to score after the 35th minute in five consecutive home matches.[/p]

[p]Eight of Fiorentina’s last 11 away matches produced over 2.5 goals.[/p]

[p]Fiorentina have conceded a pre-round high ten set-piece Serie A goals this season.[/p]

[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]

[p]Gianluca Scamacca contributed to two second-half goals (G1, A1) since Palladino’s appointment, with four of his last five Atalanta goals arriving inside the opening 15 minutes after the break. Roberto Piccoli has scored five of his last seven Fiorentina goals before half-time, and found the net here playing for Spezia in March 2021.[/p]

[p]Atalanta appear to be nearly at full strength, while Christian Kouamé and Robin Gosens are both doubts for Fiorentina.[/p]

[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]

[p]Betting Analysis[/p]

[p]Given Atalanta’s tendency to recover after the break at the beginning of Palladino’s tenure, we suggest betting on Atalanta to win the second half.[/p]

[p][i]Author: Tomáš Vlasák[/i][/p]