AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia prediction: EUROPE: Conference League – League phase betting tips on match 2025-12-17 20:00.
[p]AZ Alkmaar host Jagiellonia in the UEFA Conference League, with both sides starting the final matchday of the league phase in the play-off positions.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]After returning from Kosovo with a 3-0 victory over Drita in this competition last week, AZ will confirm their place in the knockout-phase play-offs if they avoid defeat on Thursday. Currently 13th and only one point behind AEK Athens in fourth, they could yet jump up the table and finish in the top eight, which would ensure automatic progression to the last 16. What will give Marten Maartens’ side even more confidence is the fact that they have already beaten Slovan Bratislava and Shelbourne at home during this campaign, and are on an eight-match winning streak in Europe as hosts.[/p]
[p]A 1-1 draw at Motor Lublin in the Polish top-flight on Sunday ended a run of three successive defeats in all competitions for Jagiellonia, who have now gone five games without a victory (D2, L3). That sequence includes a 2-1 loss against Rayo Vallecano in the Conference League last week, their first defeat in the competition this season and a result which sees them begin this final matchday in 18th, just two points above the sides who as it stands will be eliminated from 25th downwards. Adrian Siemieniec’s men therefore still have work to do if they are to progress, but are unbeaten in all five of their European away outings so far this term (W2, D3).[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]This is the first time that these teams have met, although AZ did beat Legia Warsaw in their only previous home match against a Polish side in the Conference League two seasons ago. Jagiellonia’s sole tie against Dutch opposition to date saw them thrashed 7-1 on aggregate by Ajax in the 2024/25 Europa League qualifying play-offs.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]AZ have conceded one goal or fewer in their last ten European home matches.[/p]
[p]AZ have drawn just one of their last 15 games in all competitions (W8, L6). [/p]
[p]Jagiellonia’s last three matches have all been 1-1 at half-time.[/p]
[p]Jagiellonia have kept only one clean sheet in their last ten away games.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Isak Jensen has contributed to three goals across AZ’s last two European games (G2, A1), with his side winning all five matches this season that he contributed to a goal in. All three of Dušan Stojinović’s bookings, and both of his goal involvements (G1, A1), this term have come in away games.[/p]
[p]AZ seemingly have no fresh absentees, while prolific forward Afimico Pululu could be a doubt for Jagiellonia after being forced off on Sunday.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Given AZ’s strong European home form, we recommend backing a clean-sheet win for them here.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Tom Penn[/i][/p]