Bodo/Glimt vs Lugano prediction: EUROPE: Europa Conference League – Group Stage betting tips on match 2023-11-29 17:45.
Bodø/Glimt can confirm their progression from UEFA Conference League (UECL) Group D with a win over Lugano, which would mark a third-straight appearance in the knockouts of UEFA competitions for the Norwegians. They have already secured a third domestic title over the last four years with two games to spare, which was perhaps the reason they took the foot off the pedal in a 4-2 loss to SK Brann last weekend, halting a seven-game winning streak.
That should take nothing away from their European form that has surged with consecutive wins, after starting the campaign with just a single point across their first two UECL outings (D1, L1). Getting back to Aspmyra Stadion may also work to their advantage as Bodø/Glimt have won 13 of 15 home games in this competition (D1, L1).
Lugano start this matchday three points behind the hosts and knowing defeat would end their hopes of qualification. A win would put them in pole position to progress as they’ll face Beşiktaş at home in the final game, while Bodo/Glimt will have the trickier task away at Club Brugge, but another stalemate would keep them firmly in the mix, although they’ll need to turn around their goal difference in that final game. But with the pressure on, it’s fair to say recent form is far from ideal, as the Swiss side have lost six of their last nine competitive matches (W2, D1).
They also travel with the psychological baggage of having lost four of their past six games (W1, D1) in this competition. Additionally, their record on the road reads 13 defeats from their last 19 away European matches (W3, D3), with the matchday two 3-2 win at Beşiktaş their only away success on the continent since December 2017.
Players to watch: Faris Moumbagna has scored three of Bodø/Glimt’s last four UECL goals, each time giving or extending their lead ‘to nil’. Coincidentally, Žan Celar, whose eight goals this season have come in six wins, also gave or extended Lugano’s lead ‘to nil’.
Hot streak: Lugano have failed to score before half-time in their last eight European matches.