Brest Metz prediction 2025-11-23

Brest vs Metz prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2025-11-22 16:15.
[p]Metz’s resurgence means that they find themselves a point above Brest ahead of the pair’s Ligue 1 meeting on Sunday. [/p]

[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]

[p]Back-to-back victories at the end of September looked to have kickstarted Brest’s season, but a winless run of six games since then (D3, L3) has taken the wind out of the Pirates’ sails. They go into this weekend sitting outside the bottom three on goals scored alone, and already three points worse off than the same stage last season. No side has fewer home wins in Ligue 1 this term than Brest (W1, D3, L2), with three successive failures to score on their own turf – their joint-worst run in top-flight history – highlighting exactly where the problems lie. [/p]

[p]Metz sat bottom of Ligue 1 after nine rounds with just two points to their name, but they’ve defied those struggles and enter the round as the division’s most in-form side, with three successive wins lifting them out of the drop zone altogether. The Maroons now have the chance to make it four straight victories in the top flight for the first time since May 1998, while they could also secure back-to-back away Ligue 1 wins for the first time in over two years here.[/p]

[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]

[p]Brest have won five of their last seven Ligue 1 meetings with Metz (L2), including each of the last three in a row.[/p]

[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]

[p]Brest have conceded a pre-round league-high seven home goals before half-time this season.[/p]

[p]Brest have opened the scoring in just one of their six home league matches this term. [/p]

[p]Nine of Metz’s 12 goals this season have been scored after half-time. [/p]

[p]Metz have scored exactly twice in each of their last three games. [/p]

[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]

[p]Brendan Chardonnet scored Brest’s opening goal in the last H2H in April 2024, with his two goals since then also coming in victories for his side. Gauthier Hein returned from suspension to equalise for Metz against Nice before the international break – his sixth successive goal to arrive after half-time.  [/p]

[p]Brest’s Bradley Locko is a doubt after coming off injured against Marseille last time out while Kamory Doumbia has missed their last four matches. Habib Diallo, Metz’s matchwinner against Nice, went off late on in that game and is not expected to return here. [/p]

[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]

[p]Betting Analysis[/p]

[p]Given Metz’s form and their recent tendency to score goals after half-time, we think backing the second half to feature more than 1.5 goals could be a good option. [/p]

[p][i]Author: Alex Bowmer[/i][/p]