Burnley vs Chelsea prediction: ENGLAND: Premier League betting tips on match 2025-11-21 12:30.
[p]Burnley could scarcely have handpicked a worse opponent than Chelsea to resume their quest for survival when the Premier League returns.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]The last four-game Premier League window started off in excellent fashion for Burnley, who beat two direct relegation rivals in back-to-back games. But things soon soured with successive defeats against Arsenal, and most notably West Ham, seeing them go into the international break just outside the bottom three. That can partially be attributed to a tough start, with this game meaning that the Clarets will have played all of the top eight inside the opening 12 rounds (W1, L6). That sole win came against a Sunderland side who were in the Championship with Burnley last season, so itâs hard to see them improving that record here, especially given February 2022 remains the last time they beat one of the leagueâs traditional âbig sixâ. [/p]
[p]The international break arguably came at a bad time for Chelsea, who went into it by winning their last two league games to nil. A 2-1 home defeat against fellow newly-promoted side Sunderland last month is a stark reminder that they canât take Burnley for granted, but four wins from as many games against the current bottom six this season show that the Blues tend to excel against struggling opponents. A five-match unbeaten away run (W4, D1) should see Enzo Marescaâs men travel in good spirits, boosting belief they can stretch their seven-match winning run in Premier League 12:30pm kick-offs on a Saturday. [/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Burnley have only lost more Premier League home games against Liverpool (nine) than they have against Chelsea (D1, L8). The Blues have won on each of their last six Premier League visits to Turf Moor, scoring 3+ goals in each of the last five.[/p]
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[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]All five of Burnleyâs Premier League home games this season featured under 2.5 goals. [/p]
[p]Burnley have conceded three of their four home league goals this season before half-time.[/p]
[p]Eight of Chelseaâs nine away games this season returned over 2.5 goals. [/p]
[p]Chelsea have scored a league-high eight second-half away goals this season.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Signed from Chelsea in the summer, Burnleyâs Lesley Ugochukwu has attempted the second-most shots for the Clarets in the Premier League this season (ten). An Alejandro Garnacho goal on what could be his 100th Premier League appearance may prove to be a bad omen for Chelsea, given the Argentine hasnât won on any of his last four scoring appearances at club level (D1, L3). [/p]
[p]Burnley will be without Armando Broja after he was stretchered off for Albania in the international break. Chelseaâs lengthy injury list includes Cole Palmer and potentially Enzo FernĂĄndez and Pedro Neto.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]The history books point towards a one-sided affair here, so backing a Chelsea win by a -1 handicap appears generously priced.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Chris Wilson[/i][/p]