Fiorentina vs AC Milan prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2026-01-10 14:00.
[p]Fiorentina are battling hard to get out of the Serie A drop zone, but they face a formidable challenge here with the visit of AC Milan, whose title challenge took a hit in midweek.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Although Fiorentina have only lost one of their last four Serie A games (W2, D1), conceding a 95th-minute penalty to draw 2-2 with Lazio in midweek will have further dented morale. La Viola remain in the relegation zone and start the round three points adrift of safety, but momentum is finally with them as those two victories against Udinese (5-1) and Cremonese (1-0) are the only ones they have managed in the league all season (D7, L10). They also came in their two most recent home outings, which should inspire confidence as fans head to Stadio Artemio Franchi, where despite their troubles, Fiorentina have failed to score just once in the league all season (W2, D2, L5).[/p]
[p]AC Milan also experienced late drama in midweek, scoring a 92nd-minute equaliser before conceding a penalty that was missed in the ninth minute of stoppage time in a 1-1 draw with Genoa. That left the Rossoneri three points behind leaders Inter Milan at the end of the round, but at least preserved their 17-game unbeaten league run (W11, D6). Massimiliano Allegri’s men may relish a return to the road here as they’ve won each of their last three away league fixtures, although another hard-fought encounter could be on the cards as each of those victories was by a one-goal margin.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Milan have only lost one of the last five H2Hs (W3, D1), while six of the last seven meetings saw both teams score. Fiorentina won three of the last four meetings they hosted (L1), twice by a 2-1 scoreline.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Four of Fiorentina’s last five league games saw over nine total corners.[/p]
[p]A pre-round league-high seven of Fiorentina’s nine home league fixtures this season saw both teams score.[/p]
[p]Milan have only failed to score in one of their 18 Serie A games this season.[/p]
[p]Milan scored first in six of their eight league away fixtures this term.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Albert Guðmundsson has scored Fiorentina’s second goal of the game in two of their last four matches, and five of his seven club strikes this term arrived after the 65th minute. Rafael Leão has netted in both of Milan’s last two outings and each of his last three goals came in games which produced under 2.5 goals.[/p]
[p]Fiorentina’s Edin Džeko remains doubtful, while Milan will be without Santiago Giménez and Christopher Nkunku through injury.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Given that Milan remain unbeaten on the road this term and Fiorentina’s lowly position, we feel there’s value in backing the visitors to win.[/p]
[p][i]Author: John Pennington[/i][/p]