Hertha Berlin vs Mainz prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2023-03-10 14:30.
A 4-1 defeat at the hands of Bayer Leverkusen in their last Bundesliga match didn’t do Hertha Berlin’s survival hopes a world of good. Even so, the Berliners have shown a certain determination of late with two wins from their last four games keeping them out of the drop zone for now, although they may need to improve on what was the Bundesliga’s second-worst defensive record after 23 rounds (44 goals conceded) if they’re to maintain their top-flight status.
It's Hertha’s home form, as is typical for relegation-battling sides, that’s keeping them afloat at the moment after recording as many wins across their last two home league games (W2) as in their ten prior (W2, D4, L4). Building on that positive form here may be tough as Mainz are currently enjoying their longest unbeaten run against any current top-flight team in this H2H matchup (W4, D3).
That’s in addition to Mainz’s current four-game Bundesliga winning run, their longest winning streak of top-flight games since 2011, which came under the leadership of Thomas Tuchel. Much like Tuchel and Jürgen Klopp before him, current Mainz boss Bo Svensson could set himself up for a glittering managerial career in Europe should Mainz keep punching above their weight.
Not since 2015/16 have Mainz held a top-seven spot at such a late stage in a Bundesliga season, although some sloppy away form across their last five trips (W1, D1, L3) could threaten to derail that progress. The Zerofivers ended a four-game winless run on their travels despite conceding two equalisers in their latest jaunt to Leverkusen (3-2), although they’re still yet to win an away league game when conceding the first goal (D1, L5).
Players to watch: Hertha’s Dodi Lukébakio equalled his best ever scoring league season with his tenth strike last round, although he’s yet to win a personal H2H against Mainz (D2, L5). As for Mainz, Marcus Ingvartsen converted his fifth competitive penalty of the season in their latest away win and he has now missed only one of his 16 total career spot kicks!
Hot stat: Hertha have avoided defeat in half of their home league games when conceding first this season (W1, D3, L4).