Lazio vs Fiorentina prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2026-01-06 19:45.
[p]Top-six hopefuls Lazio are looking to end their current winless streak against an improving Fiorentina, who are starting to click into gear in their fight for Serie A survival.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Despite suffering a 2-0 defeat against reigning champions Napoli on Sunday – a game which Lazio finished with nine men – Maurizio Sarri’s men are still ninth, with a six-point deficit to the European places ahead of this round of fixtures. The pressure has been mounting recently though, with only one league victory since the start of December, including the current three-match winless run (D2, L1). The Biancocelesti therefore need to start picking up more points, especially at home, where they have failed to win their last three encounters – the last two without even scoring – which is in stark contrast to their sequence of four successive clean-sheet victories at the Stadio Olimpico in all competitions between late October and early December. [/p]
[p]Following their second Serie A victory this season, with both of those having arrived in their last three matches (L1), Fiorentina finally moved off the bottom of the table as they needed a 92nd-minute goal to overcome Cremonese on Sunday. La Viola consequently start this round just three points adrift of safety, although they do have a whopping 20 points fewer than at this stage in the 2024/25 campaign. There is still much to do, with Fiorentina one of two sides yet to win away from home in the Italian top flight this term (D4, L5), while their run of four consecutive defeats on the road in all competitions suggests that their trip to Rome will be far from easy.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Fiorentina have won the last three H2Hs 2-1 – their longest such winning run since 2007 – but the Tuscans last beat Lazio four times in a row in 1985![/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Lazio’s last five games have featured seven red cards. [/p]
[p]A league-low three of Lazio’s 18 matches this season have seen both teams score.[/p]
[p]Pre-round, only Verona (17) had conceded more than Fiorentina’s 16 second-half goals in Serie A this term.[/p]
[p]A joint league-high seven of Fiorentina’s nine away matches this season have stood level at half-time.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Lazio have won their last 14 games in which Mattia Zaccagni has scored, with his last three strikes arriving after the hour mark. After his winner against Cremonese, seven of Moise Kean‘s last nine Fiorentina goals have come after the break.[/p]
[p]Lazio will be without Tijjani Noslin and Adam Marušić after their red cards against Napoli, while Fiorentina don’t seem to have any fresh absentees. [/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Given Lazio’s long run of low-scoring affairs and that three of Fiorentina’s last four games have ended 1-0, we suggest betting on under 2.5 goals here.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Tomáš Vlasák[/i][/p]