Lech Poznan vs Mainz prediction: EUROPE: Conference League – League phase betting tips on match 2025-12-10 20:00.
[p]Two sides with a realistic chance of progression in the UEFA Conference League clash as a rock-solid Lech Poznań welcome Bundesliga strugglers Mainz, who travel here under new management. [/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Lech Poznań played out a second consecutive league draw over the weekend, which left them with just one win from the previous seven games in the Polish Ekstraklasa (D5, L1). The Poles will hope to translate that stubbornness onto the continental stage, where they’ve been beaten in two of the last three rounds (W1), although they did down Lausanne in their last such outing. Victory would all but secure a place in the knockout stages, just as they achieved in 2022/23, and playing at home will surely inspire confidence as Poznań are currently six competitive games unbeaten here (W3, D3). [/p]
[p]Bundesliga basement boys Mainz will hope this can mark the start of a positive new era for the club after Bo Henriksen was dismissed and swiftly replaced by former Union Berlin boss Urs Fischer after failing to win each of their last ten domestic outings (D2, L8). Mainz’s only three victories during that spell came in this competition, and despite struggling domestically, they could yet top the Conference League league phase (W3, L1). An away game seems unlikely to boost those chances much in what is Fischer’s first game, especially seeing as they’ve lost each of their last five competitive trips while scoring just once. [/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]This will be the first meeting between these two sides and Mainz’s first encounter against Polish opponents. Lech Poznań have never beaten German opposition in European action (D1, L3). [/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Lech Poznań’s Conference League games have averaged a pre-round joint competition-high 3.8 goals per match. [/p]
[p]Just four sides have been given fewer than Lech Poznań’s seven yellow cards after four rounds. [/p]
[p]Only two of Mainz’s last 11 matches were decided by more than a one-goal margin.[/p]
[p]Just five of the 36 league phase sides have accumulated fewer shots on target than Mainz’s ten after four rounds. [/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Taofeek Ismaheel had a hand in both of Lech Poznań’s goals in the previous round to take his Conference League goal contribution tally to four for the season (G2, A2) – he has only scored for the club in this competition so far. Benedict Hollerbach has had a hand in two of Mainz’s three goals across their last six competitive games (G1, A1), including an equaliser in their last Conference League victory. [/p]
[p]Neither side seem to have any fresh absentees. [/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Given Mainz’s awful form, we’re playing the odds with a Lech Poznań or draw double chance selection. [/p]
[p][i]Author: Matthew Billon[/i][/p]