Lille PSG prediction 2023-12-17

Lille vs PSG prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2023-12-16 19:45.
Lille secured top spot in their UEFA Europa Conference League group on Thursday by defeating KÍ Klaksvík 3-0 and thus qualifying directly for the round of 16. Paulo Fonseca's men can now shift their focus to Ligue 1, where a 100th competitive clash (W32, D25, L42) against league leaders Paris Saint-Germain awaits them for this final game of the 16th matchday.

Taking on heavyweights PSG has been the toughest challenge in French football for more than a decade, and Lille have certainly incurred their wrath, with just one win in their past 11 league home H2Hs (D2, L8). Les Dogues have lost the last two meetings at Stade Pierre-Mauroy by an aggregate score of 12-2, but that seems unlikely to happen this time, with Lille having registered five clean sheets in seven Ligue 1 outings on their own patch this season (W5, D1, L1).

Kylian Mbappé's frustration was evident in midweek as manager Luis Enrique directed his players to preserve a 1-1 draw at Borussia Dortmund and therefore secure second spot in their UEFA Champions League (UCL) group, while a victory would have taken PSG to top spot. The capital club need to regain a winning mentality if they want to extend their impressive current run of eight consecutive victories in Ligue 1 – their longest such streak for more than two years!

The Parisians embark on the short journey north carrying with them the confidence of being the division’s most accomplished side on the road this term (W5, D2), with their average of 2.3 away goals per game the highest in the league. It's worth noting that PSG tend to recover quite well from European action, given that their last four encounters on their travels in Ligue 1 each followed a UCL match and resulted in a win.

Players to watch: After failing to register a goal or an assist across his last ten Ligue 1 appearances, his longest such drought since 2015, Lille’s Rémy Cabella will hope to break that streak against a PSG side he has four career goals against. Mbappé has been even more productive in H2Hs against Lille, contributing to 14 goals (G8, A6). That’s a total he has only surpassed when facing Montpellier (18).

Hot stat: Lille have netted more stoppage-time goals than any other team in Ligue 1 this campaign heading into this round of fixtures (first half: G3; second half: G2).