Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2023-10-20 16:30.
You’d have to go back to April to find Mainz’s latest Bundesliga win (D3, L9), a 3-1 win over Saturday’s opponents and reigning Bundesliga champions, Bayern Munich! That result blew the title race wide open at the time and helped the 05ers to a second consecutive top-half finish, but a third looks highly unlikely unless they can quickly find their first win of this Bundesliga season (D2, L5).
Despite recently receiving a public vote of confidence from his sporting director Martin Schmidt, manager Bo Svensson may be feeling the pressure a little more after giving up a late equaliser to draw 2-2 at Borussia Mönchengladbach in the previous round. This could nonetheless be a prime opportunity for redemption as, despite their rank outsider status, Mainz have put together a run of three straight Bundesliga home H2H wins over Bayern, each seeing both teams score on the day.
That’s the longest run of away league defeats Bayern have tasted against any side since losing five in a row at Schalke between 2000-2005. They began this round in the unusual position of third, owing mostly to the surprisingly superb starts from Stuttgart and Leverkusen, as Bayern themselves are one of only two remaining unbeaten Bundesliga hopefuls (W5, D2).
Some credit must go to Bayern boss Thomas Tuchel, the man who will now revisit the club that arguably made his career. He was responsible for Mainz’s best ever Bundesliga finish of fifth in 2010/11, yet he has endured a mixed bag of results in his three trips here as an opposition boss since (W1, D1, L1). Even so, the hosts will likely be tested defensively as Bayern have scored in 16 straight away league games.
Players to watch: All six of Mainz’s league goals this season have been scored by different players, and one of those players, Leandro Barreiro, netted in their latest Bundesliga win over Bayern as well as for Luxembourg in the international break. Trying to outdo him will be the powerful Harry Kane. The Bayern man is averaging a goal every 76 minutes in the Bundesliga this season (G8) and is yet to go two league games without a goal since his move.
Hot streak: Mainz’s current 12-game winless Bundesliga run is their longest since a period of 16 games under Jürgen Klopp in 2006/07.