Mainz vs Hoffenheim prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-11-20 19:30.
[p]Round 11 of the Bundesliga kicks off when an out-of-sorts Mainz host an in-form Hoffenheim, who have the opportunity to climb into the European places with a win.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Mainz sit in the relegation zone after winning just one Bundesliga game this season (D2, L7), but a victory here will lift them out of the danger zone for at least a day. Five of their seven Bundesliga defeats this season came via a one-goal margin, conceding the decisive goal in the 79th minute or later, just as they did on the last matchday at Frankfurt (L 1-0). That result means they have matched their worst ten-game Bundesliga start of five points from 2020/21, a season that saw them lose on the 11th matchday at home. Collecting just one point from their last six games, they are also on the verge of equalling their worst Bundesliga run under coach Bo Henriksen of seven winless games, although their sole point in that run came in their last home league game.[/p]
[p]Hoffenheim are the only team to have won their last four league games, meaning they can now set a new club record of five straight Bundesliga wins. Their 19 points is already their best ten-game start since 2016/17, a season that saw them finish fourth and qualify for the Champions League. Coach Christian Ilzer has worked wonders to transform a side who finished just one place above the bottom three last season into candidates for European football this time around. There’s still some work to do as Hoffenheim have conceded in nine of their ten Bundesliga games (W6, D1, L3), albeit their 21 goals have more than made up for that.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Mainz have won more Bundesliga games against Hoffenheim than any other side (W15, D8, L9), winning each of their last four home H2Hs, a run during which they only conceded once. [/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Mainz have failed to win their last two Friday night Bundesliga home games (D1, L1).[/p]
[p]Mainz have scored the opening goal in just three Bundesliga games this season, but collected two positive results (W1, D1, L1). [/p]
[p]Hoffenheim are winless in their last six Friday night games (D2, L4), four of which came on the road (D1, L3).[/p]
[p]Hoffenheim have lost all three Bundesliga games they have trailed at half-time this season. [/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Armindo Sieb has scored two of Mainz’s ten Bundesliga goals, one in a home game and the other in their only win. All four of Wouter Burger’s goal contributions this season (G2, A2) came across Hoffenheim’s last four league games.[/p]
[p]Mainz will desperately miss their top scorer this season, Nadiem Amiri, who was injured on the last matchday. Adam HloĹľek still isn’t fit for Hoffenheim.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]With Mainz the worst home side in the league (D1, L4) and Hoffenheim the second-best Bundesliga away team (W4, D1), we’re going for a Hoffenheim win with both teams to score.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Daniel vom Bruch[/i][/p]