Mainz vs Samsunspor prediction: EUROPE: Conference League – League phase betting tips on match 2025-12-17 20:00.
[p]Mainz and Samsunspor may both start the final matchday of the UEFA Conference League’s league phase in the top eight, but with it highly unlikely that both can stay there, this clash will have huge ramifications on their respective fates.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Mainz have shown signs of life in their two games under new manager Urs Fischer, as they became just the second Bundesliga side to take points off Bayern Munich in a spirited 2-2 draw at the weekend, with that result following a 1-1 stalemate with Lech Poznań on matchday five. The 05ers’ bid to qualify for the last 16 automatically could well depend on Fischer securing his first victory in charge here, as they sit eighth with just a point buffer to the chasing pack. Mainz may be quietly confident though, with their measly three wins from 11 home games this term (D2, L6) all coming in the Conference League.[/p]
[p]After winning their first three league phase matches, Samsunspor looked to be cruising towards the last 16 in their first full European campaign, but giving up the lead against both Breiðablik (D 2-2) and AEK Athens (L 2-1) has left them vulnerable should they slip up again here. Their struggles haven’t been limited to Europe though, as it’s now six competitive matches without a victory for the Red Lightning (D3, L3). They’ll likely retain belief they can arrest that slide on the road, as Samsunspor’s only defeat across their last eight away games in all competitions came against Galatasaray (W3, D4).[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Mainz have never faced a Turkish side before, while Samsunspor have lost all three of their meetings with German opposition, conceding exactly three goals each time.[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Mainz have conceded exactly once in each of their last four home games.[/p]
[p]Only three teams took more corners than Mainz (29) across the first five matchdays.[/p]
[p]Four of Samsunspor’s last five away games produced over 2.5 goals.[/p]
[p]Samsunspor have conceded just once before half-time in the league phase.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]On target at the weekend, all four of Lee Jae-sung’s goals this season have made the score 2-1, the first three of which came in home games including two Conference League strikes. Anthony Musaba is a man in form for Samsunspor with goal involvements in three of his last four appearances (G2, A1).[/p]
[p]Sota Kawasaki went off injured for Mainz at the weekend, who will also be without the suspended Nikolas Veratschnig. Samsunspor don’t appear to have any fresh injury concerns.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Given Mainz’s improving resilience under Fischer, backing under 2.5 goals could pay off here.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Ryan Fisher[/i][/p]