Marseille vs Troyes prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2023-04-15 18:45.
Beaten only by leaders PSG across the preceding eight Ligue 1 matchdays, Marseille steadfastly remain in the third and final UEFA Champions League qualification spot. This is exactly the sort of fixture the Olympians must consistently win to stay there, and they now embark on an enviable end to the home calendar, with all of their final four visitors to the Stade Orange VĂ©lodrome starting this weekend in the bottom-six.
A five-game winless streak in home league games (D3, L2) does fuel some doubts, especially with Marseille conceding first four times in that run. The exception was a 2-0 lead thrown away vs bottom-six Strasbourg (2-2), though that itself marks only a second blot on the Phocaeansâ still-decent record from Ligue 1 home matches to see them net first (W5, D1, L1).
All signs point to the endangered Troyes granting OM another addition to the âWâ column, with LâESTAC still marooned on just a solitary league win since the start of October (D8, L13). A 2-0 loss to Clemont last time out put them at risk of falling ten points behind the nearest safe spot, making a sixth top-flight relegation in two decades seem very likely.
A current run of just one victory in the visitorsâ previous ten Ligue 1 road trips (L9) suggests that their final descent into oblivion will be blindingly quick. The champagne has tended to turn flat with haste during Troyesâ more recent clashes on hostile turf too, with a majority (four) of their six away league defeats suffered in 2023 also seeing them trail at the interval.
Key battle: Marseille are the only side not to see a Ligue 1 goal scored or conceded at home inside the opening ten minutes, though Chancel Mbemba claimed first blood for the Olympians within that period during Januaryâs reverse clash (W 2-0). But his primary task will be to combat Mama BaldĂ©, who accounts for Troyesâ three most recent away goals, with the last two of them coming before the 25th minute mark.
Hot stat: Marseille have kept seven first-half clean sheets in eight prior Ligue 1 home H2Hs played this century.