Monaco vs Toulouse prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2023-06-02 19:00.
A three-game winless run (D1, L2) has seen Monaco relinquish their grasp on a top-five spot and the associated European place, meaning they enter the final day of Ligue 1 with their fate out of their own hands. With the goal difference between Monaco and fifth-placed Rennes realistically insurmountable, all Monaco can do is defeat Toulouse and hope either Rennes or Lille drop points in order to achieve a place in Europe for next season.
The principality club will first and foremost have to hold up their end of the bargain, but that certainly isn’t assured given the hosts have failed to score in over three hours of home league play ahead of this clash. Even so, with a near-perfect home league record against sides placed 13th or worse (W6, L1), scoring 3.29 goals per-match on average across those games, you’d expect that run to end here.
Standing in their way are 13th-placed Toulouse, who have already secured a place in Europe next season thanks to their Coupe de France success earlier in the season. This game will mark the end of an era, with four key players set to depart for free after this game as the club look to favour a data-driven approach to recruitment, although one concerning data trend is that Toulouse are winless in five whilst failing to score in four of those games (D4, L1)!
Playing away could help Toulouse finish on a high, with the club currently on a run of four unbeaten away league games (W2, D2) and in the midst of their best run of top-flight away shutouts since an identical three-game stretch back in 2012. Not since Ligue 1 changed to an 18-team format back in 1997 have Toulouse kept four straight away clean sheets, and with over three goals a game conceded on average across the last five away H2Hs (L5), history suggests that record is unlikely to be broken this weekend.
Players to watch: Monaco’s Wissam Ben Yedder is two goals shy of making it three consecutive 20+ goal Ligue 1 campaigns, a target he could hit here after netting more than once in three of his last six scoring league appearances. This will be Toulouse club captain Stijn Spierings’ final game at the club, with the Dutch midfielder delivering an emotional goodbye to the home fans last time out “I’m not used to crying, it’s difficult. I came here as a child, now I’m a father. Thank you so much.”
Hot stat: Toulouse are winless in away league action against top-nine opponents this season (D2, L6), conceding at least twice in each defeat.