RB Leipzig vs Mainz prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-02-28 14:30.
[p]Separated by 30 points at the end of last season, RB Leipzig and Mainz clash this weekend with just goal difference between them in the thick of the European race. Leipzig trail their visitors after a run of five draws from six Bundesliga matches (W1), though things could have been far worse had they not recovered from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Heidenheim in the last round.[/p]
[p]Boss Marco Rose therefore remains under pressure with the Red Bulls dropping out of the top four, while their ten league wins is their lowest-ever such tally at this stage of a top-flight season. Adding to that total against Mainz looks tricky as despite a seven-match unbeaten home run across all competitions (W5, D2), Leipzig have failed to win or score in the last two Bundesliga H2Hs at the Red Bull Arena (D1, L1).[/p]
[p]Mainz’s only H2H defeat at any venue in the last five meetings came in this season’s reverse fixture (2-0), but as they’ve not been doubled by Leipzig since 2019/20, the visitors will be confident of maintaining their European charge here. Bo Henriksen’s men begin the round just a point outside the top four, meaning they’re in contention to qualify for the UEFA Champions League for the first time ever.[/p]
[p]Solid foundations are helping them, with only Bayern (19) conceding fewer goals than Mainz (24), who have kept three successive clean sheets heading into this fixture, just one short of the club record set in 2011/12. The 05ers will look to add to their highest points tally at this stage of a Bundesliga season (38), but if there’s somewhere they’re fallible, it’s on the road where four of their last six league matches have ended in defeat (W2).[/p]
[p]Players to watch: Usual scorers Benjamin Ĺ eško and LoĂŻs Openda are yet to score in three attempts against Mainz, so Leipzig may turn to Xavi Simons for inspiration after he opened the scoring in the reverse fixture – his other four Bundesliga goals this term came on home soil. Mainz’s Lee Jae-sung has already directly contributed to goals against Dortmund, Bayern and Frankfurt this season, so will be looking to add another big scalp to his collection after scoring and assisting against St Pauli last week.[/p]
[p]Hot stat: Mainz have the best conversion rate of big chances in the Bundesliga this season (51%).[/p]
[p][i]Written by Ryan Fisher[/i][/p]