Spezia Fiorentina prediction 2022-10-30

Spezia vs Fiorentina prediction: ITALY: Serie A betting tips on match 2022-10-29 14:00.
It was a Saturday to forget for Spezia as they lost 1-0 last weekend at Salernitana to become the first team since Napoli in 1939/40 to lose the first six away games of a Serie A (SA) campaign without scoring. Despite this wretched run, Spezia have just about managed to keep themselves out of the relegation zone after 11 matchdays, but with three of their next four games after this week coming against current top-six sides, this weekend assumes greater significance.

Thankfully it's a completely contrasting story at home where Spezia remain one of the few SA sides yet to lose this campaign (W2, D3). It’s their scoring form that has been the differentiator with Spezia netting exactly twice in their last four league games at the Stadio Alberto Picco.

Spezia have, however, failed to score in two of their last three games against Fiorentina, but with the visitors picking up a single clean sheet across their last eight SA games, the home team may be quietly confident of extending their scoring run. Fiorentina come into the game in poor form too and sit just a point above their hosts after failing to win any of their last four league games (D1, L3), following a heart-breaking 4-3 loss to Inter Milan last weekend via a stoppage time goal.

Fiorentina followed that defeat with a come-from-behind 2-1 win on Thursday that confirmed progression from their UEFA Europa Conference League group. The Viola have struggled to replicate their European form on the domestic front, with their away form (D2, L3) remaining an albatross around their neck. The lack of goals has pegged them back, with scoring blanks collected in three of their last five away league games undermining the defensive efforts of conceding more than a goal just once during that sequence.

Players to watch: Spezia’s Daniele Verde has lost a personal-high seven matches against Fiorentina (D1), whilst his lone career H2H goal came in a 2-2 draw. Fiorentina may look to Christian Kouamé, whose last two league goals have come as equalisers in 1-1 draws.

Hot streak: Spezia have conceded first in their last four home SA games, each time within 30 minutes (W1, D3).