St. Pauli vs Dortmund prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-02-28 14:30.
[p]A relegation scrap seems a more likely prospect by the week for St Pauli, who still retain a relatively comfortable gap above the bottom-three despite losing without reply for a third straight game last weekend. That gap may soon evaporate without any resurgence from Alexander Blessinâs men, who currently sit seven points worse off than at this stage of their last top-flight relegation season. [/p]
[p]The Kiezkicker have now failed to score in a league-high 13 games this season, so any improvement in form may rely on a quick start as only two sides have a higher points per game average than St Pauli when scoring first (W6, D1). Only two of those wins came at home, with 12 of their 21 points in the Bundesliga so far won on the road, so the visit of Borussia Dortmund – a side St Pauli have lost six of the last seven home H2Hs against (W1) – doesnât bode well.[/p]
[p]Travelling here with ground to make up to the European places, Dortmund should enter with supreme confidence after posting their joint-biggest Bundesliga win since 2018 in a 6-0 rout of Union Berlin. Manager Niko KovaÄ registered his first victory in the Black and Yellowsâ dugout at the third attempt with that success, and next on the agenda is to secure a first pair of consecutive league wins for Dortmund this season. [/p]
[p]Despite their pedigree, Dortmundâs shortcomings have largely stemmed from the fact that only two sides have picked up fewer than their paltry eight Bundesliga away points (W2, D2, L7). That means they have the largest difference between average points per game earned at home (2.00) and away (0.73) this season, a stat contributed to by defeats in two of their three away games against the sides starting the round below St Pauli (W1).[/p]
[p]Players to watch: St Pauliâs Eric Smith scored his only goal of the season in the reverse fixture, but the defender has four yellow cards in his last ten appearances. Serhou Guirassy scored a rare âlupenreiner hat-trickâ last weekend with three of his four goals coming in sequence and in the same half – those strikes took his 2025 league tally to seven goals, one more than St Pauli![/p]
[p]Hot stat: St Pauli are the only Bundesliga side yet to pick up a point when conceding first this season (L14). [/p]
[p][i]Written by Matthew Billon[/i][/p]