St. Pauli Dortmund prediction 2025-08-23

St. Pauli vs Dortmund prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2025-08-22 16:30.
[p]After successfully navigating their first season back in the Bundesliga, St Pauli kick off the new campaign against Borussia Dortmund, who have finished outside the top three in back-to-back seasons.[/p]

[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]

[p]With a platform to build on following their 14th-place finish in 2024/25, St Pauli’s quest to avoid ā€˜second season syndrome’ hasn’t been helped by losing key attackers Morgan Guilavogui and Elias Saad over the summer. Manager Alexander Blessin may have alarm bells ringing after his side needed penalties to see off minnows Norderstedt in the DFB-Pokal last week, a result that’s unlikely to instil confidence ahead of this tough season opener.[/p]

[p]Borussia Dortmund were also less than convincing in the DFB-Pokal, scoring late to squeeze past third tier side Essen 1-0. That result is further cause for concern for supporters, who are worried manager Niko Kovač has not been given enough support in the transfer market, with Jobe Bellingham the only major arrival this summer. While a title challenge may be beyond them on that basis, the Yellow Wall should still have faith a strong season is ahead after Kovač lifted them from 11th to fourth last season in the space of four months.[/p]

[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]

[p]Dortmund have dominated this fixture, winning 11 of the last 12 Bundesliga H2Hs (D1). They’ve scored at least twice in nine of those victories, one of which came in last season’s corresponding fixture (2-0).[/p]

[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]

[p]St Pauli have won just one of their last nine Bundesliga games in August (D2, L6).[/p]

[p]No team in the Bundesliga scored fewer goals than St Pauli in 2024/25 (28).[/p]

[p]Dortmund conceded 51 league goals last season, their second-worst return since 2007/08.[/p]

[p]Dortmund have won their opening Bundesliga fixture in each of the last ten campaigns.[/p]

[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]

[p]St Pauli defenderĀ Hauke Wahl won’t be relishing this game having lost all three of his previous meetings with Dortmund by an aggregate score of 9-1. Dortmund striker Serhou Guirassy will be looking to pile on the pain having been on the winning side in 15 of the last 16 games he’s scored in (L1).[/p]

[p]The hosts are likely to be without new signing Ricky Jade-Jones, who dislocated his shoulder in pre-season. Dortmund’s Niklas Süle also picked up a problem over the summer and is set to miss out, alongside fellow defender Nico Schlotterbeck.[/p]

[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]

[p]Betting Analysis[/p]

[p]The visitors dominate this H2H and are strong on the opening day of the season, so a Dortmund win is the preference here.[/p]

[p][i]Author: Matt Jones[/i][/p]