St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig prediction: GERMANY: Bundesliga betting tips on match 2026-01-09 14:30.
[p]St. Pauli will be looking to start the new year the way that they finished the last, as they take on an RB Leipzig side hoping to do the exact opposite after a disappointing end to 2025.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]St. Pauli somewhat miraculously ended the calendar year with a four-game unbeaten streak across all competitions (W2, D2), their joint-longest such run since their Bundesliga promotion in 2024 – this coming after they suffered nine losses in their ten previous encounters (W1), with all those defeats occurring in the league. Their last outing was a 0-0 draw against Mainz last month though, with that being the 16th time that they failed to score in the German top flight in 2025 – more than any other side in the division. They often let themselves down defensively as well, having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 home matches. [/p]
[p]RB Leipzig’s form tailed off at the end of last year, as they finished 2025 with back-to-back defeats after suffering just two losses in their first 16 games of the campaign across all competitions (W12, D2). Both defeats came in the Bundesliga, and three in succession here would equal a club-record losing streak. They will be hoping to avoid that predicament by getting back in the win column, but having not tasted victory in their last three away matches, confidence may be lacking as they hit the road (D1, L2).[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]RB Leipzig won the last H2H 2-0, but St. Pauli had gone the previous four league meetings between the sides without losing or even conceding (W3, D1). [/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]The half-time result has been replicated at full-time in nine of St. Pauli’s last ten games.[/p]
[p]St. Pauli have conceded first in six of their seven home league matches this season. [/p]
[p]Nine of RB Leipzig’s last 11 matches have featured over 2.5 goals.[/p]
[p]The half-time result has been replicated at full-time in 12 of RB Leipzig’s 15 Bundesliga games this term.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Eric Smith’s eight scoring appearances for St. Pauli have all been in matches with more than 2.5 goals. Hoping to help guide RB Leipzig to victory will be Xaver Schlager, who before finding the net in the loss to Leverkusen last time out had not been on the losing side in his last 20 club scoring appearances (W18, D2).[/p]
[p]St. Pauli may be without forward Andréas Hountondji after he went off injured against Mainz, while defender Lukas Klostermann missed RB Leipzig’s winter training camp due to illness.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Given both sides’ half-time/full-time records and St. Pauli’s recent tendency to concede first at home, RB Leipzig/RB Leipzig in the half-time/full-time market might be a smart betting option.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Peter Stavrinou[/i][/p]