Toulouse vs Metz prediction: FRANCE: Ligue 1 betting tips on match 2025-10-18 15:15.
[p]Free-scoring Toulouse will welcome Metz to the Stadium de Toulouse this weekend with the visitors already three points adrift at the bottom of the table.[/p]
[p]Match News and Current Form[/p]
[p]Toulouse spent the international break in ninth place after ending a four-game winless streak (D1, L3) with two late goals to beat Lyon 2-1 away in their most recent outing. Les Violets return home with a record of only one loss from their last five home matches (W2, D2) and have been exceptionally entertaining with 23 goals scored or conceded in their opening seven games, their highest top-flight tally at this stage since 1985/86, including 13 in their last two home fixtures alone. [/p]
[p]Still without a win since returning to Ligue 1 in the summer (D2, L5), Metz will arrive in Toulouse having conceded 11 goals in three away matches this season (L3), at least two more than any other team ahead of this round. Stéphane Le Mignan’s side needed a reset after failing to find the back of the net in consecutive home games (D1, L1) prior to the international break and recorded four of their five Ligue 1 goals so far on the road despite losing all three trips. This unenviable form sees the Maroons begin the weekend four points from safety and a fifth successive season ending in promotion or relegation already looks a strong possibility.[/p]
[p]Head-to-Head History[/p]
[p]Toulouse won both H2Hs during the 2023/24 Ligue 1 campaign, the last season when these sides met, while Metz have not recorded a victory in any of the last six H2Hs (D4, L2).[/p]
[p]Hot Stats and Streaks[/p]
[p]Toulouse scored 2+ goals in six of their last seven home games.[/p]
[p]Toulouse have only kept one clean sheet from their last 15 home matches.[/p]
[p]Metz have failed to score beyond the 70th minute in any of their seven fixtures this season.[/p]
[p]Metz have conceded at least one first-half goal in all three of their away games during this campaign.[/p]
[p]Key Players to Watch and Missing Players[/p]
[p]Aron Dønnum got an assist in this fixture two seasons ago, contributed to two goals (G1, A1) in Toulouse’s last home match and has been booked in both of his last appearances at the Stadium de Toulouse. Habib Diallo opened the scoring against Toulouse in a 2-2 draw in 2019 and also got the first goal of the game away at Monaco in round five of this season.[/p]
[p]Toulouse have no new injuries, while Jean-Philippe Gbamin is hoping to be fit for Metz after coming off after only 21 minutes of their last game.[/p]
[p]For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre[/p]
[p]Betting Analysis[/p]
[p]Over 3.5 total goals appears to be a smart bet based on recent home and away form.[/p]
[p][i]Author: Tom Penn[/i][/p]